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Oil prices gain in Asian trading amid Russia and Middle East tensions

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Oil prices experienced an upward trend during Asian trading on Friday, continuing a significant rebound from the previous session. This increase is primarily attributed to growing concerns regarding potential supply disruptions in Russia and Iran, fueled by ongoing geopolitical tensions. In addition, worries about an immediate surge in Venezuelan oil supplies have subsided following a recent vote in the U.S. Senate. 

The Senate passed a resolution that prevents President Donald Trump from undertaking any military action against Venezuela without congressional approval, which analysts suggest will limit the likelihood of a rapid increase in oil production from the country, despite U.S. intervention efforts.

As of 21:04 ET (02:04 GMT), Brent crude oil futures for March were up by 0.7%, reaching $62.44 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures also rose by 0.7%, hitting $58.03 per barrel. Notably, both contracts are now trading at levels comparable to those observed before last week’s U.S. military actions in Venezuela, following a remarkable rally of over 4% for both benchmarks on Thursday.

The slight extension of oil price gains was also supported by positive inflation data released from China, the world's largest oil importer. This data suggested that the economic recovery in China is gaining momentum, which could lead to increased demand for oil. 

However, the potential for larger gains in crude oil prices was somewhat tempered by caution surrounding the upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, set to be released on Friday. This data is expected to have significant implications for the outlook on interest rates, which in turn affects oil prices.

Concerns regarding supply disruptions in Russia and the Middle East have provided a layer of support for oil prices throughout the week. The ongoing military conflict between Russia and Ukraine remains unresolved, and recent developments have heightened fears of further disruptions to Russian crude supplies. 

A notable incident involved a drone attack on a tanker bound for Russia in the Black Sea, which raised alarms about the potential for escalating conflicts to impact oil transportation and production in the region.

Furthermore, reports indicate that President Trump is considering endorsing a bipartisan bill that would impose even stricter sanctions on countries conducting business with Russia. This legislative move is part of a broader strategy to increase pressure on Moscow to seek a ceasefire in the ongoing conflict. 

The situation is further complicated by Iraq's government, which recently approved a plan to nationalize operations at the West Qurna 2 oilfield. This decision is aimed at preventing disruptions in oil production, reflecting the complex geopolitical landscape that continues to influence global oil markets.

In summary, while oil prices are benefitting from a combination of geopolitical tensions and positive economic indicators, the market remains cautious. The interplay between supply concerns, particularly from Russia and the Middle East, and the potential for economic recovery in major oil-importing nations like China will continue to shape the dynamics of oil pricing in the near future. 

As traders and analysts closely monitor these developments, the outlook for oil prices remains uncertain, with potential volatility expected in the coming weeks.

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