16 May 2025
Gold prices see sharp decline despite US-China trade tensions

Gold prices experienced a significant downturn on Friday, marking a steep weekly decline. This drop, exceeding 3% for spot prices – the most dramatic fall since early November 2024 – was primarily fueled by a renewed risk-on sentiment in the markets following a de-escalation of US-China trade tensions.
The agreement to temporarily reduce tariffs between the two economic giants sparked a rally in riskier assets, diminishing the safe-haven appeal of gold. Spot gold prices plummeted 0.8% to $3,178.06 an ounce, while June gold futures fell 1.5% to $3,180.50 an ounce. This decline reflects profit-taking by traders after gold recently reached record highs.
The strengthening US dollar and rising US Treasury yields further contributed to the pressure on gold prices. The improved global risk appetite, however, seemed to be cooling by Friday's close, with gold still trading comfortably above the $3,000/oz mark. Market participants remain cautiously optimistic, awaiting a more permanent trade resolution between the US and China.
The uncertainty surrounding future US-China relations is compounded by a series of underwhelming US economic indicators, raising concerns about future growth. This uncertainty, coupled with the temporary nature of the trade deal, likely contributed to the gold price correction.
Furthermore, geopolitical factors, although not explicitly mentioned in the initial text, often play a significant role in gold price fluctuations. Instability in various regions of the world can increase demand for gold as a safe haven asset, offsetting the effects of positive economic news. The current situation suggests a complex interplay of factors influencing gold's price beyond simple trade relations.
Other precious metals mirrored gold's downward trend. Platinum futures dropped 1.2% to $983.10/oz, and silver futures fell 1.9% to $32.073/oz. The decline in these metals underscores the broader shift away from safe-haven assets and towards riskier investments. In contrast, industrial metals displayed a mixed performance.
While copper prices dipped on Friday (London Metal Exchange futures fell 1% to $9,489.0 a ton, and US futures fell 1.9% to $4.5935 a pound), they still showed weekly gains, driven by optimism surrounding China's economic prospects, which are heavily reliant on copper for infrastructure projects.
The upcoming release of crucial Chinese economic data – including industrial production and retail sales figures on Monday, followed by the People's Bank of China's decision on the benchmark loan prime rate on Tuesday – will significantly impact future market sentiment and metal prices.
These announcements could potentially reignite or further dampen the current risk-on environment, consequently influencing the price of gold and other commodities in the coming week. The interplay between global economic growth, trade policies, and monetary policy decisions will continue to shape the precious metals market in the weeks and months ahead.